How Our Prop Picks Work
Every week our projections team identifies NFL props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.
We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in the Super Bowl:
Super Bowl Results:
Overall Record: 3-2 (60%)
Change in Units: +0.42
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$8.40
$50 Bettor is +$21.00
$100 Bettor is +$42.00
2025 Final Results:
Overall Record: 129-127 (50.4%)
Change in Units: -11.09
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is -$221.80
$50 Bettor is -$554.50
$100 Bettor is -$1,109.00
Results from Previous Seasons:
2024 Results
Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)
Change in Units: +23
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$460.00
$50 Bettor is +$1,150.00
$100 Bettor is +$2,300.00
2023 Results
Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)
Change in Units: +45.87
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$917.40
$50 Bettor is +$2,293.50
$100 Bettor is +$4,587.00
Prop Summary
✅ Cooper Kupp Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (7.6% EV)- Result: 61
✅ Mack Hollins Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (3.2% EV)- Result: 78
✅ Rhamondre Stevenson Over 2.5 Receptions (7% EV)- Result: 5
❌ Sam Darnold Over 229.5 Passing Yards (0.8% EV)- Result: 202
❌ Treveyon Henderson Under 4.5 Rushing Attempts (7% EV)- Result: 6
ICYMI here is a piece from our projections team reflecting on our performance from this season, talking about potential improvements for next year, and explaining why we are still very confident moving forward.
