Brook Lopez line prop from last night

You click on a prop in the WalterPicks App - here’s what to pay attention to.

1. Value

Why - This is the most important number on the screen. Its created by analyzing the implied odds of a prop hitting based on 15+ sportsbooks AND comparing Walter’s projected probability. A higher number means the bet is underpriced on the sportsbook - a winner in the long run.

2. Historical Performance

Why - A player’s performance over the past 10 games is shown in a bar graph on any given prop. This information adds context to the bet. You can see how they are trending and identify outliers to investigate.

3. Win Probability

Why - Win probability is the percentage chance a bet wins based on Walter’s projections. If you’re in need of reliable legs for a parlay, this is absolutley something you’ll want to consider.

Look at these three things every time you bet on a prop and you’ll instantly be a smarter bettor!

Open up the NBA Prop Evaluator today and give it a spin!

FREE NBA Prop of the Day 🏀

Jalen Green Under 3.5 Rebounds on Hard Rock (3.3% Value)

Why?

Value: Hard Rock is the only book that has this line at plus odds, giving it a positive value. Implying that this probably more likely to hit than how Hard Rock is pricing it.

Historical Performance: Jalen Green has gone under this mark in 7 of his last 10 games. The highest rebounding game Green had in his last 10 was against the Magic on February 21st, when he had 7 rebounds. But the Suns took 117 shots this game (their most of this stretch) at a 34.3% FG% (their lowest of the stretch). This just goes to show that for Green to have a high volume rebounding game it has required outlier game scripts.

Win Probability: Walter projects this prop to have a 50% win probability. At plus odds, this is an obvious example of how a prop is identified as a value.

First written at 9:38AM ET.

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