
Brook Lopez line prop from last night
You click on a prop in the WalterPicks App - here’s what to pay attention to.
1. Value
Why - This is the most important number on the screen. Its created by analyzing the implied odds of a prop hitting based on 15+ sportsbooks AND comparing Walter’s projected probability. A higher number means the bet is underpriced on the sportsbook - a winner in the long run.
2. Historical Performance
Why - A player’s performance over the past 10 games is shown in a bar graph on any given prop. This information adds context to the bet. You can see how they are trending and identify outliers to investigate.
3. Win Probability
Why - Win probability is the percentage chance a bet wins based on Walter’s projections. If you’re in need of reliable legs for a parlay, this is absolutley something you’ll want to consider.
Look at these three things every time you bet on a prop and you’ll instantly be a smarter bettor!
Open up the NBA Prop Evaluator today and give it a spin!
FREE NBA Prop of the Day 🏀
Jalen Green Under 3.5 Rebounds on Hard Rock (3.3% Value)

Why?
Value: Hard Rock is the only book that has this line at plus odds, giving it a positive value. Implying that this probably more likely to hit than how Hard Rock is pricing it.
Historical Performance: Jalen Green has gone under this mark in 7 of his last 10 games. The highest rebounding game Green had in his last 10 was against the Magic on February 21st, when he had 7 rebounds. But the Suns took 117 shots this game (their most of this stretch) at a 34.3% FG% (their lowest of the stretch). This just goes to show that for Green to have a high volume rebounding game it has required outlier game scripts.
Win Probability: Walter projects this prop to have a 50% win probability. At plus odds, this is an obvious example of how a prop is identified as a value.
First written at 9:38AM ET.
Join the Discord channel to get notified when props like this are found immediately!


