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- 💰 Walter's Week 5 Best Bets
💰 Walter's Week 5 Best Bets
Two Editor's Picks coming your way for week 5! These props have been hand-selected by the WalterPicks Projections Team. They can be found in the WalterPicks app by going to the prop evaluator and toggling on the "Show Editor's Picks Only" button.
Andrew Sampogna
October 04, 2025
How Our Prop Picks Work
Every week our projections team identifies props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will notify premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.
We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter.
2025 Results So Far:
Overall Record: 29-21 (58%)
Change in Units: +4.76
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$95.20
$50 Bettor is +$238.00
$100 Bettor is +$476.00
Drake Maye OVER 5.5 rushing attempts
We like both the rush attempts and rushing yards for Maye this week as great value bets. In his one matchup against the Bills last season, he had six carries for 30 rushing yards.
The Bills have allowed over 5.5 rush attempts to opposing quarterbacks in three of their four games this season. Two of those games were against Lamar and Fields, but Spencer Rattler had six rush attempts last week as well.
Maye's Week 1-3 rush share average (27%) would rank fourth highest in the league right now at quarterback, behind only Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, and Justin Fields.
Coming into this game as a 7.5 point underdog, it is fair to expect the ball to be in Drake Maye's hands a lot on Sunday night. We have Maye projected for nearly eight rushing attempts and over 40 rushing yards in Week 5 making this line an excellent value.
Posted on 10/2/25 at 7:05 AM ET. Original line over 5.5 rushing attempts at -105.
Chase Brown under 53.5 rushing yards
Chase Brown has not beat this line in a single game this season, and with the Bengals 10.5 point underdogs against the Lions, it is hard to expect that to change here in Week 5. He is running behind the worst offensive line in the NFL, his 2.3 yards per carry ranks 71st among running backs (dead last among running backs over 25 carries this season).
The Lions are allowing just 3.9 yards per carry to running backs this season (12th best in NFL) and they are allowing the ninth fewest rushing attempts per game allowed to running backs.
We have Chase Brown projected for just 35 rushing yards in Week 5.
Posted on 10/2/25 at 8:00 AM ET. Original line under 53.5 rush yards at -114. When posted the best odds were found on DraftKings. We like this prop as low as 51.5 rush yards.
The MLB Playoffs are under way, and WalterPicks has you covered! Check out the Player Prop Evaluator and toggle to MLB for EV analysis on ALL the props every day of the postseason.
One prop we have our eye on?
Harrison Bader over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs
Harrison Bader has gone over this line in 9 of the last 10 games he has played, and we are projecting him to be off to a good start in a postseason battle of juggernauts. As of the writing of this prop, we have him projected for 1.2 hits + runs + RBIs.
Identified at 10:45AM EST on 10/3/25.
