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Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

Time: 8:15 PM ET

Where to Watch: Prime Video

Spread: PIT -2.5

Total: 38.5 points

We’re focusing on borderline players who could make or break your Week 4 lineup. Last week, we recommended to start Drake London (28.4 PPR fantasy points) with Michael Penix Jr. back, and to sit all Packers RBs (17 total rush yards)

Let’s look at some fringe players and decide whether they should be in fantasy lineups for Thursday night.

Jaylen Warren dominated the Steelers backfield last week in the absence of Rico Dowdle. Warren carried the ball 17 times for 127 yards and also caught three passes for 49 yards in the passing game. Those numbers helped him finish as the overall RB8 in PPR formats on the week.

With Dowdle out again, Warren is a must-start RB1 on Thursday. The Browns have allowed a running back to total over 80 yards on the ground in back-to-back games, and this defense has given up 12 receptions to RBs over the past two weeks. After having a 90% snap share last week, expect another heavy workload for Warren.

Walter’s Rank: RB11

DK Metcalf hasn't been great through the first three weeks. The Steelers playmaker is averaging just 3.7 receptions and 32.7 receiving yards per game to begin the season. Metcalf has yet to secure more than four catches or total more than 40 yards in a game and has finished outside the top-30 at the WR position in all three contests.

Next up for Metcalf is a matchup against Pro Bowl cornerback Denzel Ward. Ward held Tetairoa McMillan in check last week (two catches for 17 yards), and the veteran currently ranks top-20 among all CBs in yards per reception allowed, target rate, and yards allowed this year. Sit Metcalf for Week 4.

Walter’s Rank: WR51

Harold Fannin Jr.’s fantasy value is rising. After a poor performance in Week 1, Fannin caught five passes for 54 yards in Week 2 and seven passes for 51 yards and two touchdowns in Week 3. The Browns playmaker has now finished in double figures in PPR formats in back-to-back contests.

The thing to love about Fannin this week is his recent involvement in this offense. He has seen at least six targets in consecutive games and has averaged 2.1 yards per route run over the last two weeks. Given that the Steelers allowed Mike Gesicki to finish as a TE1 last week, Fannin is a solid play on Thursday.

Walter’s Rank: TE12

See Week 4 rankings for every player in your league in our start/sit tool!

Prop: Quinshon Judkins OVER 49.5 Rush Yards (60% Polymarket)

Quinshon Judkins could be in for a solid rushing day against this Steelers front seven. He is coming off his best rushing performance of the season last week (18 carries for 70 yards), and Pittsburgh has allowed over 60 rushing yards to a running back in three straight games. In a divisional battle on a short week, the Browns could look to prioritize the run.

Winner: Steelers

Spread Winner: Steelers

Over/Under: Over

Prediction: Steelers win 23-17

Last week: We went 0-3 in our predictions. We incorrectly predicted the Packers would win, cover the spread, and the under would hit.

Winner Record: 1-2

Spread Winner Record: 0-3

Over/Under Record: 2-1