Our 2026 Advanced Fantasy Football Draft Guide is OFFICIALLY in the WalterPicks app, and it has an entire section dedicated to the most underrated offseason moves.

Here’s a a taste of that section:

Last Year was BAD: The upgrade from Pete Carroll and Geno Smith to Klint Kubiak, Kirk Cousins, and/or Fernando Mendoza cannot be understated. Smith finished outside the top-32 QBs in fantasy points per game, and averaged over 1 interception per game. This team is going from the oldest coach in the NFL to one of the best offensive coaches in the NFL - making Sam Darnold look elite last season.

This Year Could be GOOD: Kubiak brings one of the top schemes in the NFL to an offense that was largely inept in 2025. The Kubiak-led Seahawks offense ranked 1st in scoring offense, 3rd in total offense, 8th in passing offense, and 10th in rushing offense in 2025. In 2024 with the Saints, his offense ranked top five in EPA per play before injuries to the offensive line and Derek Carr derailed the season. His first time as an offensive coordinator led the Vikings to being 11th in passing offense, and 14th in total offense in 2021. Expected Week 1 starter, Kirk Cousins, has experience in Kubiak's system, and the outlook for every weapon on this roster has improved significantly. 

The Raiders also made substantial upgrades to their interior offensive line this offseason. They signed center Tyler Linderbaum to the highest contract for a center in NFL history, added veteran guard Spencer Burford on a one-year deal, and drafted guard Trey Zuhn in the 3rd round. All of this should help bring one of the league’s worst offensive lines from last year to at least league average this season.

Walter's projections show value throughout the depth chart:

We have Ashton Jeanty projected to have a ceiling of RB3 after garnering the 2nd highest rush share among eligible RBs as a rookie. If he has a similar workload on this improved offense, Jeanty could win leagues. Brock Bowers is going to dominate the target share on this offense lacking WRs, which makes him a very intriguing pick in the 2nd or 3rd Rounds of fantasy drafts. Speaking of the WRs, one of Tre Tucker, Jalen Nailor, or Jack Bech are going to have fantasy value. Our money is on Jalen Nailor. He’s an underrated player, his 15.2 yards per reception ranked 10th highest in the NFL last season despite the fact that over half his snaps came from the slot and the Vikings had one of the worst QB situations in the league. 

Jeanty can be a league-winner as a late 1st or early 2nd round pick. Brock Bowers has the target share potential to break every single-season tight end record this season. Jalen Nailor is our preferred target at wide receiver in Las Vegas and makes for a solid last round fantasy pick.

There are FOUR other underrated offseason moves in the Draft Guide! Check them out here ⬇️

Samps (me) (Falcons.WalterPicks) identified four expensive players to avoid in drafts at cost ;)

Tyler Warren simply doesn’t have the weekly ceiling to return on where he’s going in Sleeper drafts right now (inside the top-50 picks). He only averaged 11 PPR points per game last season. For someone going inside the top 50 picks, his ceiling is as low as it gets. His top performance last season was 18.3 points (twice). On top of that, he’s on a run-first offense with a QB coming back off of an achilles tear.

David Montgomery is another player to be weary of for a few reasons. Firstly, he’s on an offense far worse than the Detroit Lions. Whether it’s play-calling, the offensive line, or the QB play - the Texans’ are worse. Couple that with the fact that he doesn’t catch passes effectively (52nd in receptions per game among RBs last season), and there’s some cause for concern. Still not convinced? A recent report said that Monty’s expected to split lead reps with Woody Marks in training camp.

He could still provide value on a weekly basis, but I implore you to not expect Detroit Lions Monty on the Houston Texans.

This is more of a QB-position take, than a Joe Burrow take. When healthy, Joe Burrow is one of the premier QBs in the NFL, and I wouldn’t ridicule anybody for drafting him. However, he’s going inside the top-60 picks, and offers near-zero rushing upside. When considering how many solid-to-good QB options there are late in drafts, taking Burrow doesn’t make much sense.

This is the hottest take of this group, but allow me to present you with the facts. As a rookie, Luther Burden had four games all season with six or more targets (eight if you count the playoffs). He had three games with 14.4 or more PPR points, while having nine games with 8.1 PPR points or less. He wasn’t any sort of target hog.

I’m fully aware that D.J. Moore is no longer on the team. But is it a certainty that most of the vacated targets go to Luther Burden? Rome Odunze was a top-10 pick that scored 15.2 or more PPR points six times. Colston Loveland was also a top-10 pick that scored 12.9 or more PPR points five times (six times including playoffs). Burden is very talented, but Odunze and Loveland have an equally exciting opportunity to garner some of the abandoned targets.

Burden’s current ADP is nothing short of extremely speculative. A WR20 ADP is bonkers.