Sam’s Wild Card Winners
I have been 74% correct predicting NFL playoff games for the past four seasons. I went 4/6 in the Wild Card Round. Here are my picks for this year’s Divisional Round:
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Bills vs. Broncos
These 2 teams played in the playoffs last year and the Bills won 31-7. The matchup should be more competitive this year, with the Bills being slight underdogs on the road. But, I have more confidence in the coaching and QB play with the Bills. I'm taking the Bills.
My Pick: Bills
49ers vs. Seahawks
I think this game will be closer than most people expect. The Seahawks have an elite defense, holding the 49ers to just 3 points 2 weeks ago. And that was with George Kittle playing. I'm taking the Seahawks.
My Pick: Seahawks
Texans vs. Patriots
As I said last week, the Pats continue to be the most underrated playoff team. If the Patriots defense plays anywhere close to as well as they played against the Chargers, I don't see how they lose this game with Nico Collins out for Houston. I am taking the Patriots.
My Pick: Patriots
Rams vs. Bears
The Rams have scored at least 34 points in 5 of their last 6 games, and I don't see that trend stopping against an average Bears defense. The Rams defense just allowed 31 points to the Carolina Panthers, the most points we have seen by the Panthers all season. This game has a great chance to be the highest scoring game of the weekend. Chicago has a shot to keep pace offensively, but I am taking the Rams on the road.
My Pick: Rams
Free Divisional Round Prop
Rhamondre Stevenson over 2.5 Receptions
Stevenson had a substantial role against the Chargers, and we expect the Patriots to rely on the veteran RB once more. He has caught 3 or more passes in 4 of his last 6 games, and we have him allotted for 3.5 receptions against the Texans, a team allowing 4.3 receptions to the RB position per game.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 11:08pm ET. Original line over 2.5 receptions at -118.
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