How Our Prop Picks Work
Every week our projections team identifies NFL props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.
We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in Week 13:
Week 13 Results:
Overall Record: 8-10 (4.44%)
Change in Units: -3.10
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is -$62.00
$50 Bettor is -$155.00
$100 Bettor is -$310.00
2025 Results So Far:
Overall Record: 79-81 (49.4%)
Change in Units: -9.62
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is -$192.40
$50 Bettor is -$481.00
$100 Bettor is -$962.00
Results from Previous Seasons:
2024 Results
Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)
Change in Units: +23
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$460.00
$50 Bettor is +$1,150.00
$100 Bettor is +$2,300.00
2023 Results
Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)
Change in Units: +45.87
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$917.40
$50 Bettor is +$2,293.50
$100 Bettor is +$4,587.00
Prop Summary/Notes
✅ Brenton Strange Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (9.1% EV)- Result: 45
✅ C.J. Stroud Over 33.5 Passing Attempts (6.5% EV)- Result: 35
✅ Drake Maye Over 239.5 Passing Yards (11.2% EV)- Result: 282
✅ Emanuel Wilson Under 0.5 Anytime Touchdown (12.3% EV)- Result: 0
✅ John Metchie III Over 3.5 Receptions (9% EV)- Result: 4
✅ Jordan Love Over 2.5 Rushing Attempts (7.4% EV)- Result: 5
✅ Noah Fant Under 2.5 Receptions (19.8% EV)- Result: 1
✅ Tyjae Spears Over 2.5 Receptions (8.3% EV)- Result: 6
❌ Bhayshul Tuten Over 25.5 Rushing Yards (14.6% EV)- Result: 17
❌ Caleb Williams Over 20.5 Rushing Yards (1% EV)- Result: 13
❌ Derrick Henry Over 17.5 Rushing Attempts (10.2% EV)- Result: 10
❌ Devin Neal Over 3.5 Receptions (15.2% EV)- Result: 3
❌ Marcus Mariota Under 28.5 Rushing Yards (5.7% EV)- Result: 55
❌ Patrick Mahomes Over 265.5 Passing Yards (9.1% EV)- Result: 261
❌ RJ Harvey Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (5.2% EV)- Result: 35
❌ Shedeur Sanders Over 158.5 Passing Yards (6.7% EV)- Result: 149
❌ Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (14.4% EV)- Result: -3
❌ Van Jefferson Jr. Under 2.5 Receptions (15.8% EV)- Result: 3
Recommended Transactions for Week 14
Every week the Transactions Tool in the WalterPicks app populates with recommended adds, drops, and trades that you should be considering to improve your fantasy teams. All recommendations come from our transactions team and are powered by Walter’s projections carrying out thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.
Some recommended transactions for this week include:
Three stashes with star performances on their resume
Several RB handcuffs with league winning potential
Two defenses for this week and two for the fantasy playoffs
