How Our Prop Picks Work
Every week our projections team identifies NFL props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.
We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in Week 14:
Week 14 Results:
Overall Record: 8-4 (66.7%)
Change in Units: +3.00
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$60.00
$50 Bettor is +$150.00
$100 Bettor is +$300.00
2025 Results So Far:
Overall Record: 87-85 (50.6%)
Change in Units: -6.62
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is -$132.40
$50 Bettor is -$331.00
$100 Bettor is -$662.00
Results from Previous Seasons:
2024 Results
Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)
Change in Units: +23
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$460.00
$50 Bettor is +$1,150.00
$100 Bettor is +$2,300.00
2023 Results
Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)
Change in Units: +45.87
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$917.40
$50 Bettor is +$2,293.50
$100 Bettor is +$4,587.00
Prop Summary/Notes
✅ CeeDee Lamb Over 5.5 Receptions (8.7% EV)- Result: 6
✅ Dalton Kincaid Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (8.6% EV)- Result: 41
✅ David Montgomery Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts (8.5% EV)- Result: 6
✅ Isiah Pacheco Under 39.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (10.4% EV)- Result: 30
✅ Josh Allen Over 30.5 Rushing Yards (7.6% EV)- Result: 78
✅ Luther Burden Over 3.5 Receptions (11.1% EV)- Result: 4
✅ Malik Washington Over 2.5 Receptions (17% EV)- Result: 3
✅ Tua Tagovailoa Under 29.5 Passing Attempts (5% EV)- Result: 21
❌ Brenton Strange Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (12% EV)- Result: 27
❌ Bucky Irving Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-0.8% EV)- Result: 55
❌ Devin Neal Over 2.5 Receptions (13.7% EV)- Result: 1
❌ Omarion Hampton Over 2.5 Receptions (9.4% EV)- Result: 2
🚑 Daniel Jones Over 220.5 Passing Yards (16.9% EV)- Result: 60
Recommended Transactions for Week 15
Every week the Transactions Tool in the WalterPicks app populates with recommended adds, drops, and trades that you should be considering to improve your fantasy teams. All recommendations come from our transactions team and are powered by Walter’s projections carrying out thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.
Some recommended transactions for this week include:
Three QBs with fantastic matchups this week
A handcuff RB who appears to be breaking out
Two defenses you can trust this week
