How Our Prop Picks Work
Every week our projections team identifies NFL props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.
We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in Week 17:
Week 17 Results:
Overall Record: 8-11 (42.1%)
Change in Units: -4.41
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is -$88.20
$50 Bettor is -$220.50
$100 Bettor is -$441.00
2025 Results So Far:
Overall Record: 115-110 (51.1%)
Change in Units: -6.74
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is -$134.80
$50 Bettor is -$337.00
$100 Bettor is -$674.00
Results from Previous Seasons:
2024 Results
Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)
Change in Units: +23
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$460.00
$50 Bettor is +$1,150.00
$100 Bettor is +$2,300.00
2023 Results
Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)
Change in Units: +45.87
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$917.40
$50 Bettor is +$2,293.50
$100 Bettor is +$4,587.00
Prop Summary
✅ Javonte Williams Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts (8.2% EV)- Result: 13
✅ Joe Burrow Over 250.5 Passing Yards (3.7% EV)- Result: 305
✅ Kyren Williams Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (9.8% EV)- Result: 92
✅ Luther Burden Over 3.5 Receptions (7.6% EV)- Result: 8
✅ Luther Burden Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (3% EV)- Result: 138
✅ Nick Chubb Under .5 Receptions (3.6% EV)- Result: 0
✅ Samaje Perine Over 6.5 Receiving Yards (8% EV)- Result: 8
✅ Terry McLaurin Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (7.8% EV)- Result: 63
❌ Adam Thielen Over 2.5 Receptions (14.1% EV)- Result: 2
❌ Drake London Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (1% EV)- Result: 4
❌ Elijah Higgins Over 2.5 Receptions (16.6% EV)- Result: 0
❌ Elijah Higgins Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (14.4% EV)- Result: 0
❌ Emanuel Wilson Over 6.5 Carries (8% EV)- Result: 3
❌ Jacoby Brissett Over 247.5 Passing Yards (4.5% EV)- Result: 212
❌ James Cook Over 104.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (0.4% EV)- Result: 77
❌ Kirk Cousins Over 1.5 Passing TDs (8.9% EV)- Result: 1
❌ RJ Harvey Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (9.5% EV)- Result: 43
❌ Samaje Perine Over 33.5 Rush Yards (2% EV)- Result: 5
❌ Woody Marks Under 61.5 Total Yards (4.6% EV)- Result: 75
🚑 Chris Rodriguez Jr. Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (8.3% EV)- Result: null
