🏈 Player Prop Report Card

Week 8 Performance - PLUS waiver adds/trades for this week!

Author

Patrick McDonnell
October 28, 2025

How Our Prop Picks Work

Every week our projections team identifies NFL props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.

 We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in Week 6:

Week 8 Results:

  • Overall Record: 7-6 (53.8%)

  • Change in Units: +0.38

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$7.60

    • $50 Bettor is +$19.00

    • $100 Bettor is +$38.00

2025 Results So Far:

  • Overall Record: 51-44 (53.7%)

  • Change in Units: +2.54

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$50.80

    • $50 Bettor is +$127.00

    • $100 Bettor is +$254.00

Results from Previous Seasons:

2024 Results

  • Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)

  • Change in Units: +23

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$460.00

    • $50 Bettor is +$1,150.00

    • $100 Bettor is +$2,300.00

2023 Results

  • Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)

  • Change in Units: +45.87

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$917.40

    • $50 Bettor is +$2,293.50

    • $100 Bettor is +$4,587.00

Prop Summary/Notes

  • ✅ Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (3.3% EV)- Result: 2

  • ✅ Evan Engram Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (6.1% EV)- Result: 36

  • ✅ Isaiah Bond Under 2.5 Receptions (9.9% EV)- Result: 0

  • ✅ Jordan Mason Under 7.5 Receiving Yards (5.9% EV)- Result: 3

    • The return of Aaron Jones certainly helped with this one, but neither RB was very involved in the passing game.

  • ✅ Marcus Mariota Under 31.5 Passing Attempts (7.6% EV)- Result: 30

  • ✅ Rashee Rice Over 5.5 Receptions (16.3% EV)- Result: 9

    • That’s our WR1!

  • ✅ Rico Dowdle Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (4.6% EV)- Result: 54

    • Sounds like even more usage is coming Dowdle’s way after Canales’ comments.

  • ❌ Brashard Smith Over 1.5 Receptions (9% EV)- Result: 0

  • ❌ D'Andre Swift Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (16.9% EV)- Result: 45

  • ❌ Isaiah Likely Over 2.5 Receptions (7.2% EV)- Result: 2

  • ❌ Jaylen Warren Over 3.5 Receptions (6.7% EV)- Result: 2

  • ❌ Kimani Vidal Under 77.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (3.9% EV)- Result: 127

  • ❌ T.J. Hockenson Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (5.4% EV)- Result: 26

Every week the Transactions Tool in the WalterPicks app populates with recommended adds, drops, and trades that you should be considering to improve your fantasy teams. All recommendations come from our transactions team and are powered by Walter’s projections carrying out thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

Some recommended transactions for this week include:

  • Adding a highly touted QB who is getting some tough press

  • Dropping two pass catchers who were formerly fantasy stars

  • Two RBs to trade now!