🏈 Player Prop Report Card

Week 6 Performance - PLUS waiver adds/trades for this week!

Author

Patrick McDonnell
October 14, 2025

How Our Prop Picks Work

Every week our projections team identifies props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.

 We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in Week 6:

Week 6 Results:

  • Overall Record: 2-7 (22.2%)

  • Change in Units: -5.25

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is -105.00

    • $50 Bettor is -$262.50

    • $100 Bettor is -$525.00

2025 Results So Far:

  • Overall Record: 40-32 (55.6%)

  • Change in Units: +4.59

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$98.10

    • $50 Bettor is +$229.50

    • $100 Bettor is +$459.00

Results from Previous Seasons:

2024 Results

  • Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)

  • Change in Units: +23

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$460.00

    • $50 Bettor is +$1,150.00

    • $100 Bettor is +$2,300.00

2023 Results

  • Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)

  • Change in Units: +45.87

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$917.40

    • $50 Bettor is +$2,293.50

    • $100 Bettor is +$4,587.00

Prop Summary/Notes

  • ✅ Chase Brown Under 46.5 Rushing Yards (9.6% EV)- Result: 42

  • ✅ Christian McCaffrey Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (17.7% EV)- Result: 57

  • ❌ Aaron Rodgers Under 20.5 Passing Completions (19.7% EV)- Result: 21

  • ❌ Daniel Bellinger Over 10.5 Receiving Yards (18.8% EV)- Result: 0

  • ❌ J.K. Dobbins Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (8.9% EV)- Result: 40

  • ❌ Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (6.9% EV)- Result: 61

  • ❌ Kyren Williams Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (24% EV)- Result: 50

  • ❌ Sam LaPorta Under 46.5 Receiving Yards (8.9% EV)- Result: 55

  • ❌ Trevor Lawrence Over 3.5 Rushing Attempts (16% EV)- Result: 3

  • 🚑 Emeka Egbuka Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (8.9% EV)- Result: 24

This was a tough week with several of these being one play away from cashing. Its important to remember that there will be ebbs and flows to this throughout the season. The most important thing you can do is to continue to trust the process over time and not make decisions based on emotion!

Every week the Transactions Tool in the WalterPicks app populates with recommended adds, drops, and trades that you should be considering to improve your fantasy teams. All recommendations come from our transactions team and are powered by Walter’s projections carrying out thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

Some recommended transactions for this week include:

  • The Chosen One in NYC

  • A receiver coming off IR who exploded at the end of last season

  • An all-time fantasy great to target in trades