🏈 Player Prop Report Card

Our Week 12 performance recap- PLUS waiver adds/trades for this week!

Author

Patrick McDonnell
November 25, 2025

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How Our Prop Picks Work

Every week our projections team identifies NFL props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.

 We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in Week 12:

Week 12 Results:

  • Overall Record: 3-5 (37.5%)

  • Change in Units: -2.50

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is -$50.00

    • $50 Bettor is -$125.00

    • $100 Bettor is -$250.00

2025 Results So Far:

  • Overall Record: 71-71 (50%)

  • Change in Units: -6.52

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is -$130.40

    • $50 Bettor is -$326.00

    • $100 Bettor is -$652.00

Results from Previous Seasons:

2024 Results

  • Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)

  • Change in Units: +23

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$460.00

    • $50 Bettor is +$1,150.00

    • $100 Bettor is +$2,300.00

2023 Results

  • Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)

  • Change in Units: +45.87

  • Results based on unit size:

    • $20 Bettor is +$917.40

    • $50 Bettor is +$2,293.50

    • $100 Bettor is +$4,587.00

Prop Summary/Notes

  • ✅ Sean Tucker Over 10.5 Rushing Attempts (16.1% EV)- Result: 12

  • ✅ Tony Pollard Under 59.5 Rushing Yards (6.6% EV)- Result: 20

  • ✅ Woody Marks Over 15.5 Rushing Attempts (14.5% EV)- Result: 16

  • ❌ Cole Kmet Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (12.2% EV)- Result: 3

  • ❌ Geno Smith Under 29.5 Passing Attempts (8.4% EV)- Result: 44

  • ❌ Jeremy Ruckert Over 0.5 Receptions (13.9% EV)- Result: 0

  • ❌ Puka Nacua Over 7.5 Receptions (8.4% EV)- Result: 7

  • ❌ Tetairoa McMillan Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (14.4% EV)- Result: 35

Every week the Transactions Tool in the WalterPicks app populates with recommended adds, drops, and trades that you should be considering to improve your fantasy teams. All recommendations come from our transactions team and are powered by Walter’s projections carrying out thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

Some recommended transactions for this week include:

  • Two TEs with startable matchups down the stretch

  • A rookie RB with a huge opportunity in front of him

  • A Jets WR who might actually be good