How Our Prop Picks Work
Every week our projections team identifies NFL props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.
We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in Week 15:
Week 15 Results:
Overall Record: 10-8 (55.5%)
Change in Units: +1.08
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$21.60
$50 Bettor is +$54.00
$100 Bettor is +$108.00
2025 Results So Far:
Overall Record: 97-93 (51.1%)
Change in Units: -5.54
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is -$110.80
$50 Bettor is -$277.00
$100 Bettor is -$554.00
Results from Previous Seasons:
2024 Results
Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)
Change in Units: +23
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$460.00
$50 Bettor is +$1,150.00
$100 Bettor is +$2,300.00
2023 Results
Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)
Change in Units: +45.87
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$917.40
$50 Bettor is +$2,293.50
$100 Bettor is +$4,587.00
Prop Summary/Notes
✅ Andre Baccellia Under 19.5 Receiving Yards (7.2% EV)- Result: 0
✅ Breece Hall Under 16.5 Rushing Attempts (7.9% EV)- Result: 12
✅ Bucky Irving Over 14.5 Rushing Attempts (8% EV)- Result: 16
✅ Dawson Knox Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (13.2% EV)- Result: 37
✅ Devaughn Vele Over 3.5 Receptions (3.9% EV)- Result: 5
✅ Greg Dulcich Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (7.3% EV)- Result: 46
✅ Jalen Coker Over 2.5 Receptions (2.6% EV)- Result: 4
✅ JaMarr Chase Over 87.5 Receiving Yards (3.2% EV)- Result: 132
✅ Ricky Pearsall Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (2.4% EV)- Result: 96
✅ Shedeur Sanders Over 7.5 Rushing Yards (7.8% EV)- Result: 24
❌ Baker Mayfield Over 16.5 Rushing Yards (11.4% EV)- Result: 1
❌ Elic Ayomanor Over 2.5 Receptions (7.6% EV)- Result: 1
❌ Isaiah Likely Over 2.5 Receptions (11.2% EV)- Result: 0
❌ Kyle Monangai Over 12.5 Rushing Attempts (3.1% EV)- Result: 11
❌ Matthew Stafford Under .5 Interceptions Thrown (7.2% EV)- Result: null
❌ Oronde Gadsden II Under 3.5 Receptions (4.3% EV)- Result: 4
❌ Quinshon Judkins Over 7.5 Receiving Yards (8.9% EV)- Result: -4
❌ Trey McBride Under 7.5 Receptions (2% EV)- Result: 12
Recommended Transactions for Week 16
Every week the Transactions Tool in the WalterPicks app populates with recommended adds, drops, and trades that you should be considering to improve your fantasy teams. All recommendations come from our transactions team and are powered by Walter’s projections carrying out thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.
Some recommended transactions for this week include:
Three viable playoff TEs
A QB and a RB that everybody had already written off
Two defenses with great matchups in Week 16
