How Our Prop Picks Work
Every week our projections team identifies NFL props that we see as having excellent edge value, writes up explanations for each of them, and will ping premium users about the opportunity. These are posted in our discord channel and then highlighted in the prop evaluator as soon as they are published.
We keep track of these bets over time and report results to you every week in this newsletter. Here’s how we did in Week 16:
Week 16 Results:
Overall Record: 10-6 (62.5%)
Change in Units: +3.21
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$64.20
$50 Bettor is +$160.50
$100 Bettor is +$321.00
2025 Results So Far:
Overall Record: 107-99 (51.9%)
Change in Units: -2.33
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is -$46.60
$50 Bettor is -$116.50
$100 Bettor is -$233.00
Results from Previous Seasons:
2024 Results
Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)
Change in Units: +23
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$460.00
$50 Bettor is +$1,150.00
$100 Bettor is +$2,300.00
2023 Results
Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)
Change in Units: +45.87
Results based on unit size:
$20 Bettor is +$917.40
$50 Bettor is +$2,293.50
$100 Bettor is +$4,587.00
Prop Summary/Notes
✅ Andre Baccellia Under 19.5 Receiving Yards (7.2% EV)- Result: 0
✅ Breece Hall Under 16.5 Rushing Attempts (12.6% EV)- Result: 16
✅ Brenton Strange Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (8.5% EV)- Result: 39
✅ Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions (7.9% EV)- Result: 10
✅ Drake Maye Over 233.5 Passing Yards (13.3% EV)- Result: 380
✅ Mike Evans Over 4.5 Receptions (5.8% EV)- Result: 5
✅ Omarion Hampton Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts (7.9% EV)- Result: 16
✅ Omarion Hampton Over 44.5 Rushing Yards (6.1% EV)- Result: 85
✅ Saquon Barkley Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (1.5% EV)- Result: 132
✅ Shedeur Sanders Over 7.5 Rushing Yards (13.6% EV)- Result: 49
✅ Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (5% EV)- Result: 71
❌ Ashton Jeanty Under 14.5 Carries (5.6% EV)- Result: 24
❌ Colby Parkinson Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (9.1% EV)- Result: 20
❌ Colston Loveland Over 3.5 Receptions (14.9% EV)- Result: 3
❌ Isaiah Likely Over 2.5 Receptions (5% EV)- Result: 0
❌ Jonathan Taylor Over 120.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-0.5% EV)- Result: 79
❌ Konata Mumpfield Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (11.4% EV)- Result: 40
🚑 Kimani Vidal Over 7.5 Receiving Yards (5.1% EV)- Result: 0
Recommended Transactions for Week 17
Every week the Transactions Tool in the WalterPicks app populates with recommended adds, drops, and trades that you should be considering to improve your fantasy teams. All recommendations come from our transactions team and are powered by Walter’s projections carrying out thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.
Some recommended transactions for this week include:
SHOUGH
Two RBs with huge Week 17 boom potential
A handful of defenses who could win leagues
