MLB Prop Pick of the Day 6/4

Matthew Boyd OVER 5 Pitching Strikeouts (-137 on PrizePicks)

Explanation

Chicago Cubs pitcher Matthew Boyd has quietly been one of the team's most consistent starters this season. He owns a 3.08 ERA and 64 strikeouts in his first 11 starts in 2025. Now, he gets a solid matchup against the Washington Nationals.

Although the Nationals rank in the top-10 in strikeout rate (20.9%), expect the southpaw to reach at least five strikeouts in this matchup. He is averaging 5.8 strikeouts per start and has gone over this line in five of his last six outings. With a solid 24.9% strikeout rate and a 30% chase rate in 2025, he should hit this line on Thursday.

So, take advantage of this line on PrizePicks. Walter has a massive +EV value of 6.9% (expected value compared to other books) for this prop on PrizePicks. You can also use the Line Shopping tool in the WalterPicks app to see which other sportsbooks give you an edge. Both ESPN Bet (O/U 4.5) and BetRivers (O/U 4.5) have favorable odds for Boyd's pitching strikeouts as well.

Other MLB Props To Consider:

MacKenzie Gore OVER 6.5 Pitching Strikeouts (-108 on FanDuel)

• Slight +EV value of 0.3% on WalterPicks

• Over this line in nine of his last 10 starts

• Ranks tied for first in strikeouts (101) and has an elite 34.7% whiff rate

• Riskier against an elite Cubs offense, but trust his stuff.

Ryan Gusto OVER 3.5 Pitching Strikeouts (-222 on ESPN Bet)

• Massive +EV value of 16.3% on WalterPicks

• Over this line in his last two starts

• Faces a Pirates team that ranks 24th in strikeout rate (23.5%)

+EV prop values are shifting constantly. Find them in real time using the WalterPicks Player Prop Evaluator!