MLB Prop Pick of the Day 6/26

Hayden Birdsong UNDER 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-164 on DraftKings)

Explanation 

Since joining the San Francisco Giants’ rotation in late May, starting pitcher Hayden Birdsong has pitched well in this role. He has a 3.99 ERA and 30 strikeouts across his six starts this year. Now, he goes up against a subpar Marlins offense on Thursday. As a result, we expect Birdsong to allow fewer than 2.5 earned runs in this one.

He has gone under this line in two of his last four starts and only allowed one run across 5 1/3 innings the last time he faced the Marlins back on June 1. With an impressive .229 batting average against and a 28.9% whiff rate to start the season, Birdsong shouldn’t allow more than two runs in Thursday’s matchup.

Walter also has a major +EV value of 4.9% (expected value compared to other books) for this prop on DraftKings; most other books have this line set at 1.5, so act fast before it changes.

Other MLB Props To Consider:

Hunter Brown OVER 6.5 Pitching Strikeouts (-104 on BetRivers)

• +EV value of 2.6% on WalterPicks

• Over this line in seven of his last 10 starts

• Has an elite 31.6% strikeout rate

Shohei Ohtani OVER 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (+120 on BetMGM)

• +EV value of 1.8% on WalterPicks

• Over this line in two of his past three games

• Has dominated Rockies pitcher Austin Gomber in his career (.364 batting average with two home runs and five RBI)

• Playing this game at Coors Field, one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks. 

+EV prop values are shifting constantly. Find them in real time using the WalterPicks Player Prop Evaluator!