MLB Prop Pick of the Day 5/27

Hunter Brown OVER 6.5 Pitching Strikeouts (+100 on Hard Rock)

Explanation

Brown has been one of the best pitchers in baseball to start the season and has hit this line in five of his past six starts. With the right-hander coming off his worst start of the season, expect a bounce-back performance. While the Athletics don’t strike out a ton (ranking tied for sixth in strikeouts per game), Brown’s stuff should play well in this matchup. 

His chase rate (30.8%), whiff rate (26.6%), and strikeout rate (30.6%) all rank in the upper half of the league, and it’s hard not to love him against an Athletics team that has struck out 33 times over the last three games. This line isn’t plus odds on any other book, so act fast before it moves. Walter has a slight +EV value of 1.6% (expected value compared to other books) for this prop on Hard Rock.

Other MLB Props To Consider:

Stephen Kolek OVER 3.5 Pitching Strikeouts (-222 on ESPN Bet)

• +EV value of 13.9% on WalterPicks

• Over this line in four straight starts

• Will face a Marlins offense that ranks 13th in strikeouts per game (8.37)

Cade Horton UNDER 5.5 Pitching Strikeouts (+118 on FanDuel)

• +EV value of 4.7% on WalterPicks

• Under this line in all three MLB appearances

• Only struck out two against the White Sox on May 16 and three against the Marlins on May 21

• Just a 15.9% strikeout rate and a 25.2% whiff rate to begin his career

+EV prop values are shifting constantly. Find them in real time using the WalterPicks Player Prop Evaluator!