We have identified one high-value MLB prop using the WalterPicks Prop Evaluator.

We went 2-for-2 on our MLB props last Friday using the WalterPicks app. Luis Castillo allowed fewer than 2.5 earned runs, and Payton Tolle recorded more than 15.5 outs.

Be sure to check out the Prop Evaluator in our app. These props are constantly updated in the app in real time, and bettors can see every high-value prop across all four Major sports (NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL).

Kyle Harrison has gone under this line in 9 of his last 10 starts. He has a solid 2.70 ERA since the beginning of May, and the only start he has allowed more than 2.5 earned runs during this stretch came against the Athletics in Las Vegas, a ballpark with intense elevation.

Harrison will go up against a Diamondbacks offense on Friday that has hit southpaws well this season (.274 batting average). But Harrison is in a groove on the mound right now. On top of that, he’s allowed more than 2.5 runs in a start just once all year. His 31.1% strikeout rate and 29.6% whiff rate should both carry him in this outing.

This MLB Prop has a 1.7% Value in the WalterPicks app. We project Harrison to give up 2.1 runs in this start against the Diamondbacks on Friday, making this a bet worth taking.

Breece Hall

Taking Breece Hall as the RB14 might be one of the easiest ways to lose your fantasy football league.

The biggest concern with him is his workload. Jets head coach Aaron Glenn has already talked about a "3-headed monster" featuring Hall, Isaiah Davis, and Braelon Allen. Normally, that coachspeak is worth ignoring, but here it actually tracks.

Last year, Hall faced almost no competition after Allen went down in Week 4. But he had a 75% snap share just twice, and barely finished inside the top 20 at the RB position. Now Allen is back, reportedly at his lowest body fat and around 250 pounds, roughly 30 pounds heavier than Hall. He already carved out red-zone work before his injury last season. Expect more of the same, not less.

Tony Pollard

A lot of fantasy managers believe Tony Pollard can easily beat his RB32 ADP this year, but I'm not convinced.

Pollard's best performances last year came almost entirely from the four games Tyjae Spears missed. In that stretch, he had a 86% snap share, over 65 rushing yards per game, a near-10% target share, and close to 20 touches a game. Once Spears returned, Pollard's snap share collapsed to 53%, and he didn't crack 15 fantasy points in a single game until Week 14.

Spears is now fully healthy, and the Titans added Nick Singleton in the 2026 NFL Draft on top of that. This could turn into a 3-headed monster really quickly.

Aaron Jones & Jordan Mason

Both Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason are on the list together because they directly hurt each other in fantasy.

Jones sits around the RB35 in drafts, while Mason has an RB40 ADP. Both are expected to finish around 700 rushing yards, and WalterPicks has them valued accordingly. Add rookie Demond Claiborne to the mix, and Mason's appeal as a "premium handcuff" nearly evaporates.

At these prices, I'd rather spend the pick on someone with real league-winning upside. This is another instance of a backfield that could turn into a 3-headed monster that fantasy managers should mostly avoid.

RJ Harvey

The bullish case for RJ Harvey centers on what he did when J.K. Dobbins was injured.

In games without Dobbins, Harvey averaged nearly 14 carries per game, saw all the red-zone work, and was the RB13 in points per game. But across the 10 games Dobbins played, Harvey fell to RB32 in points per game, averaging just five carries and 2.9 targets per game.

Dobbins was excellent when healthy:

Harvey's numbers, by contrast, were a bit rough across the board:

Add rookie Jonah Coleman to the backfield, and Harvey's handcuff value takes a hit. He can still have a solid season, but the path to smashing ADP is narrower than the hype suggests.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Washington all but handed Jacory Croskey-Merritt the backfield last year. Austin Ekeler tore his ACL in Week 2, and Chris Rodriguez Jr. missed four games. Despite that, Croskey-Merritt had just a 37% rush share and a 3% target share, and never saw more than two targets in a game.

The efficiency was equally underwhelming, as Croskey-Merritt ranked as the RB31 in yards per touch, RB29 in rushing yards, and RB30 in evaded tackles.

Now the Commanders have rebuilt the room entirely, adding Rachaad White, Jerome Ford, and rookie Kaytron Allen. Even at his RB38 ADP, I'd rather put that pick toward someone with a real shot at winning your league.