We have identified one sneaky MLB bet using the WalterPicks Prop Evaluator.

The highest-value props are constantly being updated in the app in real time. The following prop is free, but if you want to see every high-value prop for NFL, MLB, and NBA, tap the link above.

Cade Cavalli has gone over this line in nine of his last 10 starts. He is giving up 2.4 runs per start during this stretch and could go over this line again against a Rays offense that ranks around league average in runs scored.

Cavalli’s fastball has gotten hit hard this season, as opposing hitters are batting .337 against his four-seamer and .353 against his sinker. That could spell trouble for him against hitters like Jonathan Aranda (.282 batting average), Junior Caminero (.370 batting average), and Yandy Diaz (.315 batting average), all of whom crush fastballs.

This MLB Prop has a 4.7% Value in the WalterPicks app. We project Cavalli to give up 2.3 earned runs in this start against the Rays on Friday evening, so it’s a bet worth taking.

The following analysis is a series Seth is doing on the number one fantasy target on every NFL team. Follow his page to see his favorite target for every team!

These are the fantasy-relevant players and their current ADPs for 2026:

Chris Olave

Chris Olave was one of the best value picks in fantasy football drafts last season. He finished as the overall WR6 in PPR formats behind a 100-catch, 1,163-yard, nine-touchdown. He was even better with Tyler Shough as his quarterback, as Olave averaged 18.2 PPR fantasy points per game with him under center from Week 8 onward.

However, Olave might not be as strong of a WR1 in fantasy this year. He had no competition for targets down the stretch once Rashid Shaheed was traded, which will change this year with the addition of first-round rookie Jordyn Tyson. Since he needs to average around 16 PPR fantasy points per game to return value, he carries some risk at this ADP.

Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne joins Alvin Kamara in the Saints’ backfield following a strong all-around season in 2025. He finished as the overall RB10 in PPR formats while totaling 1,399 yards from scrimmage and 13 touchdowns. Now, he is set to be the featured back in a Kellen Moore offense.

The problem is that Etienne might not return value at his RB18 ADP. He ranked seventh in redzone touches in 2025, but is unlikely to repeat that on a worse offense that averaged just 18 points per game in 2025. There’s also a good chance that Kamara stays involved and sees a handful of touches each week. That could all prevent him from averaging over 14.5 PPR fantasy points per game (which he needs to average to return value)

Tyler Shough

Shough really came on strongly toward the end of the season. He averaged 20.1 fantasy points per game over the final six weeks of the regular season and ranked as the QB8 in points scored during this stretch. Shough also showed some sneaky rushing upside, as he rushed for over 30 yards in three of his last five games.

That all has the former Louisville quarterback trending up in Year 2. He should only improve as a passer in his second season, and the Saints have a better supporting cast with the additions of Etienne and Tyson. The 26-year-old just needs to average around 18.5 fantasy points per week to be considered starter quality.

Verdict:

The top target on this Saints team is highly likely to return value. He has upgraded weapons and carries no draft risk at his 144.4 ADP on Sleeper. The top target on this team is Shough.