A Betting Tip for the WalterPicks App
WalterPicks’ Most Important Metric is… Value
Value compares:
WalterPicks projected probability of a prop hitting
vs.The implied probability from sportsbook odds
More Value is Better
+Value: Walter’s probability is HIGHER than what the sportsbook is offering
→ This is a valuable bet-Value: Walter’s probability is LOWER than the sportsbook’s odds
→ This is an unfavorable bet
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FREE NBA Prop of the Day 🏀
Adem Bona UNDER 7.5 Points - 8.4% Value
Why?
Even though Joel Embiid (shin) will not play in this game, Philadelphia 76ers center Adem Bona is still a great play to go under 7.5 points in Thursday’s matchup against the Atlanta Hawks.
In the two games before the All-Star break without Embiid, Bona was a non-factor offensively. He scored just seven points against the Trail Blazers and six points against the Knicks. Both scoring efforts are under Thursday’s current 7.5-point line.
Not only will Bona split center minutes with Andre Drummond, but the 76ers center doesn’t attempt many shots when he does play. He hasn’t attempted more than five shots in a game in each of the past five contests.
So, it’s best to take the under on his point total on Thursday. He is projected for only 6.9 points in our Player Prop Evaluator, and the best odds for this prop can be found on Hard Rock (-105). This bet on Hard Rock has an 8.4% Value.
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