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Find Player Props for Week 1

Our player props have become a staple on the betting side of the WalterPicks app over the last few years. Our projections team will identify the bets that have the best edge each week and will send push notifications when those props are released. So, make sure to have push notifications on because lines move so quickly in the betting landscape.

You can also see which bets you like the best by using the prop evaluator in the app. In the player prop evaluator, you are able to see the win percentage, Walter’s EV Edge, and the best line across all platforms.

Here are the results of these player props over the past two seasons. 

Results from Previous Seasons:

2024 Results

• Overall Record: 163-126 (56.4%)

• Change in Units: +23

• Results based on unit size:

  • $5 Bettor is +$115.05

  • $10 Bettor is +$230.02

  • $20 Bettor is +$460.05

2023 Results

• Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)

• Change in Units: +45.87

• Results based on unit size:

  • $5 Bettor is +$229.36

  • $10 Bettor is +$458.72

  • $20 Bettor is +$917.43

Access the prop evaluator here to start researching for Week 1!

Sam Factor: Dak Prescott to Lead the League in Passing TDs (+1500 on DraftKings)

Reasoning: The Cowboys have arguably the worst RB room in the NFL. Prescott has ranked top-5 in pass attempts inside the 5-yard line in two of the last three seasons, and he now has one of the best WR duos in the NFL with George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb.

Prescott has as good a chance as any QB for this market, but he is somehow seventh in the current odds on DraftKings.

Patrick McDonnell: Jordan Love to win MVP (+2000 on DraftKings)

Reasoning: Love has the easiest narrative path to win the MVP outside of the big four (Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen, and Patrick Mahomes). With the addition of Micah Parsons, there is an argument for them to be the most dominant team in the NFC this season.

The Packers have tons of talent on both sides of the ball, a head coach with a tremendous track record, and a young QB still figuring out his ceiling. If the Packers are as good as many think they can be, Love will get tons of credit and could make a strong push for MVP. 

Andrew Sampogna: Titans to Win the NFC South (+650 on DraftKings)

Reasoning: At +650 on DraftKings, the Titans are an intriguing team to target as a division winner in the weakest division in the NFL. They have solid weapons, an improved defense, and Cam Ward, a rookie QB who has been very impressive throughout the offseason.

The Texans have serious offensive line problems. The Jaguars have a very weak defense and a shaky offensive line. The Colts have a poor defense and Daniel Jones at QB. I like the odds of the Titans making some noise with an easy schedule.

Trevor Martin: Christian McCaffrey to Win Offensive Player of the Year (+2000 on DraftKings)

Reasoning: This bet offers solid value considering he won this award just two years ago before injuries derailed his 2024 season. With Deebo Samuel gone and Brandon Aiyuk dealing with an injury, San Francisco will likely funnel more touches to their star running back, especially in the passing game, where he's always been elite.

The 49ers also have one of the easiest schedules in the league this season, which should lead to more favorable game scripts and scoring opportunities for McCaffrey. He dominated in 2023 with over 2,000 scrimmage yards and 21 total touchdowns, and there's no reason he can't put up similar numbers again if he stays healthy.

Joey Pollizze: Jahmyr Gibbs to Win the Rushing Title (+1400 on DraftKings)

Reasoning: Many people believe that this Lions offense will take a step back this season without Ben Johnson calling the shots. But have we ever thought that the loss of Johnson could actually help Gibbs? What if new Lions offensive coordinator John Morton wants to give Gibbs more carries, riding the hot hand instead of maintaining that timeshare with David Montgomery.

Despite ranking tied for 11th in carries last season, the Lions running back ranked fifth in total rush yards (1,412). His 5.6 yards per carry ranked third among all qualified backs, and there is a path where the Lions run the offense through him this year. The sky is the limit for Gibbs in Year 3.