Best Prop Bet for Game 4 🏀

Aaron Nesmith UNDER 12.5 Points (-135 on BetRivers)

Explanation

Indiana Pacers small forward Aaron Nesmith has had some strong performances this postseason. However, there’s a good chance he finishes with under 12.5 points in tonight's Game 4 matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

He has gone under this line in four of the past five games, and his minutes appear to be trending down. The 6-foot-5 forward has played under 25 minutes in three of the last five games, including in Game 3. With Nesmith averaging just 8.3 shots per game across his last eight contests, Walter gives this bet a 60% chance of winning on Friday night.

Walter also has a +EV Edge value of 3.6% (expected value compared to other books) for this prop on BetRivers, making this a nice bet to take in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Nesmith is projected for just 11.4 points in the WalterPicks app.

Other Game 4 Bets To Consider:

Pascal Siakam UNDER 23.5 Points + Assists (-120 on PointsBet)

• Under this line in two of the three games against the Thunder in the finals

• +EV Edge value of 1.7%

Cason Wallace OVER 0.5 Blocks (+185 on DraftKings)

• Over this line in five straight games

• Some risk in taking this line for a guard, but minutes are trending up

• +EV Edge value of 1.6%

+EV prop values are shifting constantly. Find them in real time using the WalterPicks Player Prop Evaluator!