If you’re reading this, there’s a 95% chance you have a fantasy draft in the next 10 days.

Player news is flying around like crazy. Injuries in camp, trades, cuts, big performances etc.

Our projections team made 195 tweaks to our player projections last week. Every one of these tweaks adjusts rankings.

There is no way for one person (you) to keep track of all of this information + all of the additional information that will come before your draft day.

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Our team has spent every day since the Super Bowl projecting the upcoming NFL season. So yeah, we have some takes on how the standings will shakeout.

We wrote this up with percentage odds on Polymarket, where you can trade predictions like this and cash out at anytime you’d like.

Reasoning: The Cowboys already have a top tier offense, and they upgraded their defense significantly this offseason. The additions of rookie Caleb Downs, veteran Von Miller, and defensive coordinator Christian Parker will help Dallas win the NFC East. The Eagles lost their best offensive weapon. There are still question marks about the Commanders, especially with the recent injury to Laremy Tunsil, and the Giants are not ready to make that jump yet.

Reasoning: The NFC South remains one of the easiest divisions. The Falcons and Panthers have very little chance to compete offensively given their QB situations and schedules. The Bucs have one of the best offensive lines in the league and more depth offensively across the board than almost any team in the NFL.

Reasoning: While they’re in one of the toughest divisions in the NFL, competent QB play was the only thing holding them back from being a real contender. Their defense is among the most underrated units in the entire NFL, and if Kyler Murray can be 70% of his prime self, the Vikings are 100% a playoff team.

Reasoning: Given that the Bills are trading at 56%, this feels like a remarkably good price. This division is a clear two horse race, and for how much has been made about the Patriots schedule ramping up this year, the Bills don’t get any kind of break with their second place opponents. Both teams play the NFC North and AFC West, and while the Bills won’t have to play the Seahawks, Jaguars, or Steelers…they will have to play the Rams, Ravens, and Texans. Not much of a reprieve.

The Patriots added more talent this offseason and fewer coaching question marks. These odds should be closer.